|
PLAN FOR COOLING - AUSSIE CLIMATE SPECIALIST |
|
September 21, 2009: "Think globally, destroy locally - Giving Earth the benefit of the doubt" by ICSC adviser Professor Bob Carter of the Marine Geophysical Laboratory at James Cook University, Quadrant Online, Balmain, NSW, Australia. "Some computer models (General Circulation Models; deterministic) project that the global temperature in ten years time will be warmer than today’s. Other computer models (statistical; based upon projection of past climate patterns) project that global temperature will be cooler ten years hence. The reality is, therefore, that no scientist can tell you with confidence whether the temperature in 2020, let alone 2100, will be warmer or cooler than today’s. The only sensible precaution that you can take in such a situation is to plan for a continuation of the present climate trend, and recognize and plan also for reasonable bounds of future climate variability. As the temperature trend for ten years now has been one of cooling, since the unusually warm El Nino year of 1998, this requires a precautionary response to cooling rather than warming." Read whole piece.
|